U.S. Construction Industry Activity Up 0.9% Year-Over-Year in October
SOUTH PORTLAND, Maine--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 16, 2011--
Wright
Express Corporation (NYSE: WXS), a leading global provider of
value-based business payment processing and information management
solutions, in collaboration with IHS (NYSE: IHS), a leading provider of
global economic and financial intelligence, today released results of
its Wright Express Construction Fuel Consumption Index (FCI), which
indicated an increase of 0.9% on an annual basis in October.
The Wright Express Construction FCI measures national fuel consumption
statistics for the construction industry, which provides an accurate and
up-to-date indication of construction activity in the United States. The
construction segment comprises approximately 20% of the Wright Express
portfolio of customers.
Wright Express worked with IHS Consulting and Advisory Services to
capture and analyze transaction data from its closed loop network of
more than 180,000 fuel and vehicle maintenance locations, including over
90 percent of the domestic retail fuel locations and 45,000 vehicle
maintenance locations. With this data, the Wright Express Construction
FCI can be used to identify emerging trends within the construction
industry and the national economy.
"The analysis of the October 2011 data suggests the construction
industry is slowly inching forward on an annual basis," said Michael
Dubyak, Wright Express Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "The report
also shows, in looking back to September, an increase in private
construction by 0.6%, and a possibility that rebuilding after Hurricane
Irene is what gave construction employment a temporary boost in
September.”
The indicators were tested at monthly, quarterly, and annual
frequencies, with the greatest insights produced using the
year-over-year percent change of the monthly data. For October 2011, the
Wright Express Construction FCI reported that fuel consumption by U.S.
construction companies rose by 0.9% versus October 2010; and declined by
1.8% versus the previous month.
The Wright Express Construction FCI, which is available monthly in
advance of the U.S. Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce figures
on construction spending, is available at www.wrightexpress.com/fci.
October 2011 Wright Express Construction Fuel Consumption Index (FCI)
According to the Wright Express Construction FCI, the construction
industry is in neutral, which will take some time to recover. Despite
experiencing a month-to-month decline, the index increased 0.9% on an
annual basis in October, and consistent annual growth provides a glimmer
of hope.
IHS Analysis
According to IHS’s analysis, the October result of the Wright Express
Construction Fuel Consumption Index reflects the state of the stalled
construction industry. Throughout 2011, small monthly gains have been
offset by subsequent losses, while the construction industry slowly
inches forward on an annual basis. After two consecutive month-to-month
declines in the seasonally adjusted index, it is evident that growth in
the construction industry is not yet ready to take off. Construction
spending is expected to pick up somewhat in 2012, with more substantial
gains coming in 2013 when housing returns. Pent-up demand for housing is
building as young adults stay at home, and at some point will spark a
major revival in housing activity.
The Wright Express Construction FCI for October 2011 is available at www.wrightexpress.com/fci.
Index Methodology
The Wright Express Construction Fuel Consumption Index (Wright Express
Construction FCI) was developed by IHS Global Insight with support from
Wright Express. The index is based on monthly fuel consumption
statistics for the construction industry tracked by Wright Express's
comprehensive fuel consumption database. The Wright Express Construction
FCI provides unique fuel transaction information that can be used to
identify emerging trends in the construction industry. By tracking the
volume of fuel consumed by construction companies in the United States,
the index provides an accurate and up-to-date indication of construction
activity in the country.
The construction industry was defined by 1987 Standard Industry
Classification (SIC) codes 15 (General building contractors), 16 (Heavy
construction contractors), and 17 (Special trade contractors). Data from
Wright Express's fuel transaction database was "cleaned" based on a
criteria developed by IHS Global Insight with input from Wright Express.
The sample included only accounts that had been active for at least two
years. In this way, IHS Global Insight was able to effectively capture
the construction market's fuel consumption activity. In order to create
an accurate index, the fuel consumption data from each SIC industry code
were weighted based on the number of companies in each industry.
IHS Global Insight analyzed the relationship between sixteen different
construction and housing indicators and the construction sector fuel
consumption data provided by Wright Express. Correlation tests were
conducted on each of the indicators against the volume of gallons
consumed, the volume of gallons consumed per effective fueling day, the
volume of gallons consumed per active card per effective fueling day.
All series were tested at seasonally adjusted rates, as well as
non-seasonally adjusted rates.
The indicators were tested at monthly, quarterly, and annual frequencies
with the greatest insights produced using the year-over-year percent
change of the monthly data. After determining the top three indicators,
additional correlation tests were conducted to determine the optimal
transformation of the Wright Express fuel consumption data. Through this
analysis, it was revealed that the Wright Express Construction FCI for
construction was a particularly strong indicator of the value of total
construction put-in-place and construction industry employment in the
United States. The overall correlation based upon monthly year-over-year
growth rates from January 2002 to October 2011 was 0.897 for the number
of new single-family homes for sales and 0.896 for total construction
put-in-place.
|
Indicator
|
|
Correlation
|
|
New Single-Family Homes for Sale
|
|
0.897
|
|
Total Construction Put-in-Place
|
|
0.896
|
|
Construction Employment
|
|
0.884
|
|
New Single-Family Homes for Sale - Under Construction
|
|
0.873
|
|
Total Private Housing Under Construction
|
|
0.863
|
|
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index - Composite 20 Index
|
|
0.832
|
|
Average Sales Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sold
|
|
0.821
|
|
Residential Construction Put-in-Place
|
|
0.760
|
|
Total Housing Completions, Private
|
|
0.723
|
|
New Single-Family Homes Sold - Completed
|
|
0.715
|
|
Average Sales Price of New Single-Family Homes Sold
|
|
0.695
|
|
Median Sales Price of New Single-Family Homes Sold
|
|
0.658
|
|
Total Private Housing Starts
|
|
0.523
|
|
New Single-Family Homes Sold
|
|
0.520
|
|
Housing Permits, Private
|
|
0.513
|
|
Nonresidential Construction Put-in-Place
|
|
0.452
|
|
New Single-Family Homes Sold - Under Construction
|
|
0.281
|
|
|
|
|
About Wright Express
Wright
Express Corporation (NYSE: WXS) is a leading provider of
value-based, business payment processing and information management
solutions. The Company's fleet, corporate, and prepaid payment solutions
provide its more than 350,000 customers with unparalleled security and
control across a wide spectrum of business sectors. The Company's
subsidiaries include Wright Express Financial Services, Pacific Pride
and Wright Express International, including Wright Express Prepaid Cards
Australia and Wright Express Fuel Cards Australia. Wright Express and
its subsidiaries employ more than 850 associates in six countries. For
more information about Wright Express, please visit wrightexpress.com.
About IHS
IHS (NYSE: IHS) is the leading source of information and insight in
critical areas that shape today’s business landscape, including energy
and power; design and supply chain; defense, risk and security;
environmental, health and safety (EHS) and sustainability; country and
industry forecasting; and commodities, pricing and cost. Businesses and
governments in more than 165 countries around the globe rely on the
comprehensive content, expert independent analysis and flexible delivery
methods of IHS to make high-impact decisions and develop strategies with
speed and confidence. IHS has been in business since 1959 and became a
publicly traded company on the New York Stock Exchange in 2005.
Headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, USA, IHS employs more than 5,100
people in more than 30 countries around the world.
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Source: Wright Express Corporation
News media contact:
Wright Express
Jessica Roy,
207-523-6763
Jessica_Roy@wrightexpress.com
or
Investor
contact:
Wright Express
Steve Elder, 207-523-7769
Steve_Elder@wrightexpress.com